PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2.45M-2.6M · —
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Stored reference
2.45M-2.6M 24.8%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
2.45M-2.6M 24.8%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$226.9
Liquidity
$153K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2.45M-2.6MSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:08 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2.45M-2.6M
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
