KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRepublican party 20%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$469.2
Liquidity
$261.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
10.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jan 26, 25, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican party20%
Compare venues· Democratic party
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageMost active | 79% | — | $469.2 | $261.9K | 19 minutes ago | |
 Futuur | 77% | — | $100.6 | $0 | 50 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
Arizona Governor election winner
Closed
77%
23%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$100.6
24h Vol$100.6
FUTUURRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$469Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.