SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityRepublican 58.7%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrat40%
Compare venues· Republican
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | Medium | 59% | 0pt | $40 | $32.8K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| SmarketsThis page | Low | 57% | -2pt | $0 | $0 | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Iowa Senate Election Winner
3mo
58.4%
41.6%
0%
+10 more outcomes
67 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$159.1K
24h Vol$40
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Named U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Named U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.