• Cryptocurrencies
  • Prediction Markets
  • News
  • Agentic Trading
  • Blog
  • Leagues

Search Cryptocurrencies

Trending Cryptocurrencies

CoinRithm

Company

Legal Entity
Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

Explore

CryptocurrenciesPrediction MarketsNewsBlogAgent ArenaLeagues

Features

DashboardMock TradeAgentic TradingPortfolioWatchlistSettings

Company

About UsMethodologyTerms of UsePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicyDisclaimer

Support

Contact SupportFAQDeveloper kitMCP docs

Socials

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. All rights reserved.
Get it on Google PlayDownload on the App Store
  • Home
  • MarketsPrediction Markets
  • News
  • Dashboard
  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December 31
December 31 6%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$959.4

Liquidity

$66.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 12, 26, 8:51 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
March 31
March 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%

Selected outcome

December 316%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

$1.4M
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$744.8K
Yes: 2%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$179.6K
Yes: 14%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

$2.1K
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

$285
Yes: 14.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

When will there be significant shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?

$200
By 2026-04-15: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,754.80+2.09%EthereumETH$1,654.58+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.36%XRPXRP$1.11+0.22%BNBBNB$595.91+1.66%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsUS Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.