Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Likud
Resolved: Oct 18, 2026, 4:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Likud
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Together0%
Yashar2%
New Hope3%
No Endorsement0%
Yisrael Beiteinu0%
LikudWon
Blue and WhiteLost
DemocratsLost
Hadash–Ta'alLost
New HopeLost
No EndorsementLost
NoamLost
Otzma YehuditLost
Religious ZionismLost
ShasLost
TogetherLost
UTJLost
YasharLost
Yisrael BeiteinuLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
- In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
- In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
- Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
- If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".