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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East4mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Likud
Likud 54%
Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.2

Liquidity

$866.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 86.0%

Spread

4200.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 4:38 PMOct 28, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Likud54%

Rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
  • In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
  • In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
  • Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
  • If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".

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Active in these topics

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Rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
  • In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
  • In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
  • Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
  • If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".