PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Greg Abbott (R) 81.2%-0.3pt
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$34K
High liquidityBid / Ask
82.3% / 82.6%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-5.7 pts
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingOct 13, 25, 10:42 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Greg Abbott is 83%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Greg Abbott 83% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Texas Governor Winner · Greg Abbott 86%
- Also available on Kalshi — Texas Governor winner? · Greg Abbott 83%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Greg Abbott (R) at 81% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Texas Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Texas Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Texas Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
- Where else is Texas Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Kalshi.