PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 7:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
37%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No94%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 6% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the Republican Party's hourly odds value is above 6% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Republican Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
