Will a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection22dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 26, 5:45 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Timeframe: must be said After Market Creation and Before 11.59pm ET November 2 2026.
- Resolves YES if a Republican US House or Senate candidate says that President Donald Trump should seek a third term.
- The statement must explicitly advocate for Donald Trump to seek a third term, or support a legal/constitutional change (such as repealing or amending the 22nd Amendment) specifically to allow Trump to run for or serve a third term.
- It can be said in an advertisement, social media post or when responding to a journalists question (just to name a few ways)
- Retweets/sharing news articles doesn’t count.
- If it’s social media, must be posted like it’s their own words.
