PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 8%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$32.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.5%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:48 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes8%
Large trades
$1.1k92.0%POLYMARKETNoNeH9d ago
POLYMARKETNoNeH9d agoVolume trend
$1.4kJul 225d of dataJul 27
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If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.