Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsEurope3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.6%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 24, 11:28 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Article 7 allows the Council of the EU to revoke membership rights of membership countries, without reducing their membership obligations.
- There is currently talk to invoke this against Hungary, which is using the unanimity requirement of the Council to extract benefits from the EU.
- Article 7 requires:
- 80% of membership states (the 'target country' doesn't get a vote), i.e. 21/26
- Simple majority in the European Parliament
- https://eur-lex.europa.eu/EN/legal-content/glossary/suspension-clause-article-7-of-the-treaty-on-european-union.html
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027? resolve?
- Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Article 7 allows the Council of the EU to revoke membership rights of membership countries, without reducing their membership obligations.