Current implied probability
Łukasz Gibała 78.6%+2.0ptLeader of 17 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$199.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 12:40 AM UTCSep 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland.
- A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Kraków mayoral election winner? · Łukasz Gibała 65%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Łukasz Gibała at 79% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Kraków Mayoral Election Winner resolve?
- Kraków Mayoral Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is Kraków Mayoral Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland.
- Where else is Kraków Mayoral Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.