KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Łukasz Gibała 64.5%-8.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$620
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 4:02 PM UTCSep 27, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Marian Banaś wins the 2026 special election for Mayor of Kraków, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 special election for Mayor of Kraków, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Łukasz Gibała wins the 2026 special election for Mayor of Kraków, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Kraków Mayoral Election Winner · Łukasz Gibała 78%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kraków mayoral election winner??
- Kalshi prices Łukasz Gibała at 65% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Kraków mayoral election winner? resolve?
- Kraków mayoral election winner? is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2027.
- How is Kraków mayoral election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Marian Banaś wins the 2026 special election for Mayor of Kraków, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Kraków mayoral election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.