PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%-0.5%Leader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$313.1
Liquidity
$208.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 48.0%
Spread
4.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
+7.5%
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 9:31 PMOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jerônimo Rodrigues52%
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The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).