PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jerônimo Rodrigues 59%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.3K
Liquidity
$235.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
4
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 9:31 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)? · ACM Neto 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Bahia Governor winner? · Jerônimo Rodrigues 54%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $225.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.7pt91%
- Republican Party+0.5pt9%
- Total Vol
- $37M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $668K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.1pt55.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.8pt7.8%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-4.0pt68%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt32%
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
- 24h Vol
- $581.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bahia Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Jerônimo Rodrigues at 59% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Bahia Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Bahia Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.
- How is Bahia Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- Where else is Bahia Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi.