PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Cleitinho Azevedo 87.3%+1.8ptLeader of 17 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
85 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.5K
Liquidity
$468K
High liquiditySpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
32
7d Change
+1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 9:29 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
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PolymarketElected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Minas Gerais Governor winner? · Cleitinho Azevedo 81%
- Also available on Futuur — Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026 · Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 82%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Cleitinho Azevedo at 87% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- Where else is Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Futuur.