PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Cleitinho Azevedo 54%-9.5%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$218.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spread7d Change
-5.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 9:29 PMOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cleitinho Azevedo54%
Also available on Kalshi
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
9.0%1y
-9.0%59%
7%
9%
+3 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.4K
24h Vol$174
KALSHIRules
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).