Current implied probability
Cleitinho Azevedo 59%-9.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$174
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 64.0%
Spread
10.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 25, 26, 2:00 PMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cleitinho Azevedo59%
Also available on Polymarket
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
5.5%3mo
-5.5%57%
+0.1%10%
+0.1%6%
+27 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$83.4K
24h Vol$3.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Cleitinho Azevedo wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Cleitinho Azevedo wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.