KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Cleitinho Azevedo 81.4%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$139
Liquidity
$13K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 25, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketElected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurElected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026 · Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 82%
- Also available on Polymarket — Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner · Cleitinho Azevedo 87%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minas Gerais Governor winner??
- Kalshi prices Cleitinho Azevedo at 81% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Minas Gerais Governor winner? resolve?
- Minas Gerais Governor winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Minas Gerais Governor winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Minas Gerais Governor winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Polymarket.