What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)??

Manifold Markets prices Marília Campos at 76% as of September 4, 2026.

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)?

26.4 pts (24h)One-OffElection Politics Latin America30d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Marília Campos 76.4%+26.4pt

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+26.4 pts

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Sep 3, 26, 2:37 AMOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market concerns the 2026 Brazilian Senate election in the state of Minas Gerais (MG), in which two Senate seats are being contested.

Each candidate will resolve YES if they are officially elected Senator for Minas Gerais in the 2026 election, and NO otherwise.
Resolution will be based on the official election results published by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).

Report a data issue with this market

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)?

26.4 pts (24h)One-OffElection Politics Latin America30d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Marília Campos 76.4%+26.4pt

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+26.4 pts

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Sep 3, 26, 2:37 AMOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market concerns the 2026 Brazilian Senate election in the state of Minas Gerais (MG), in which two Senate seats are being contested.

Each candidate will resolve YES if they are officially elected Senator for Minas Gerais in the 2026 election, and NO otherwise.
Resolution will be based on the official election results published by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)??: Manifold Markets prices Marília Campos at 76% as of September 4, 2026.
When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)? resolve?: Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)? is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market concerns the 2026 Brazilian Senate election in the state of Minas Gerais (MG), in which two Senate seats are being contested.

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)?

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)?

Frequently asked questions

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