KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jerônimo Rodrigues 54.4%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$111.8
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 2:00 AM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
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- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $225.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.7pt91%
- Republican Party+0.5pt9%
- Total Vol
- $37M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $668K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.1pt55.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.8pt7.8%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-4.0pt68%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt32%
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
- 24h Vol
- $581.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bahia Governor winner??
- Kalshi prices Jerônimo Rodrigues at 54.4% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Bahia Governor winner? resolve?
- Bahia Governor winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Bahia Governor winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Bahia Governor winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Polymarket.