Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)?

PoliticsOne-OffElection Latin America2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

ACM Neto 50%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 23 minutes ago

Jul 27, 26, 6:00 PMOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

ACM Neto50%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Bahia in the 2026 general election.

The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026.
If no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes, a runoff between the two leading candidates will be held on October 25, 2026.
The listed answers can be updated before the end of the official candidate-registration period to include any additional relevant candidates.
The primary resolution sources will be:
Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE)

Volume trend

$329

Jul 272d of dataJul 28

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Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)?

PoliticsOne-OffElection Latin America2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

ACM Neto 50%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 23 minutes ago

Jul 27, 26, 6:00 PMOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

ACM Neto50%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Bahia in the 2026 general election.

The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026.
If no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes, a runoff between the two leading candidates will be held on October 25, 2026.
The listed answers can be updated before the end of the official candidate-registration period to include any additional relevant candidates.
The primary resolution sources will be:
Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE)

Volume trend

$329

Jul 272d of dataJul 28

Related Markets

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

$10.9K

Cleitinho Azevedo: 41%

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$8.8K

Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%

POLYMARKET