Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America30dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastACM Neto 50%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Bahia in the 2026 general election.
- The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- If no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes, a runoff between the two leading candidates will be held on October 25, 2026.
- The listed answers can be updated before the end of the official candidate-registration period to include any additional relevant candidates.
- The primary resolution sources will be:
- Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Bahia Governor Election Winner · Jerônimo Rodrigues 59%
- Also available on Kalshi — Bahia Governor winner? · Jerônimo Rodrigues 54%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)??
- Manifold Markets prices ACM Neto at 50% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)? resolve?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)? is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2026.
- How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Bahia in the 2026 general election.
- Where else is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.