Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America30dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLuciano Zucco 41.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 2:31 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul in the 2026 general election.
- The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- If no candidate receives the required majority of valid votes, a runoff will be held on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared elected Governor of Rio Grande do Sul by Brazil’s electoral authorities, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) or the Regional Electoral Court of Rio Grande do Sul (TRE-RS).
- A victory in either the first round or the runoff qualifies.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Rio Grande do Sul Governor winner? · Luciano Lorenzini Zucco 63%
- Also available on Polymarket — Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner · Luciano Zucco 66%
- Also available on Futuur — Elected governor for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026 · Luciano Zucco 69%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)??
- Manifold Markets prices Luciano Zucco at 41.9% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)? resolve?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)? is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2026.
- How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market predicts who will be elected Governor of the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul in the 2026 general election.
- Where else is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Futuur.