PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Eduardo Paes 93%-0.1%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.8
Liquidity
$219.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
92.8% / 92.9%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+0.5%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:25 AMOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Eduardo Paes93%
Compare venues· Eduardo Paes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
Closed
69%
11%
6%
+3 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$303.7
24h Vol$0
FUTUUR
Also available on Kalshi
Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?
1y
89%
13%
5%
+1 more outcomes
40 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.8K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).