PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Eduardo Paes 91%-0.1ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$435.6K
High liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
7
7d Change
-3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:25 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsElected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026
Futuur🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? · Eduardo Paes 90%
- Also available on Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 92%
- Also available on Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
