FutuurClosedCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataThis market resolved: Douglas Ruas (96%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 1:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Douglas Ruas
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 1:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Douglas Ruas96%
Eduardo Paes6%
Bombeiro Rafa2%
William Siri2%
Wilson Witzel2%
Ítalo Marsili1%
Douglas RuasWon
Eduardo PaesLost
Bombeiro RafaLost
William SiriLost
Wilson WitzelLost
Ítalo MarsiliLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elected governor of Rio Grande do Norte in 2026?
FutuurRio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PolymarketWho will be elected governor of New York in 2026?
Manifold MarketsElected governor of Tocantins in 2026?
FutuurWho will be elected governor of California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts which candidate will be elected Governor of the state of Rio de Janeiro in the general election scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- The market corresponding to the candidate who is elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro will resolve to "Yes".
- The winner is the candidate who receives the majority of valid votes in accordance with Brazil’s electoral system.
- If no candidate obtains the required majority in the first round, a runoff election will be held, and the event will resolve based on the official winner of that runoff.
- These markets may resolve before official certification once the outcome is clearly determined and no longer subject to reasonable doubt, based on substantially complete vote counts published by the Brazilian electoral authority.
- Final certification is not required if the leading candidate cannot realistically be overtaken.
