Current implied probability
Eduardo Paes 89%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 94.0%
Spread
5.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Apr 25, 26, 2:00 PMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Eduardo Paes89%
Compare venues· Eduardo Paes
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
0.3%2mo
-0.3%94%
50%
50%
+20 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$239K
24h Vol$585
POLYMARKET
Also available on Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
2mo
92%
13%
4%
+3 more outcomes
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$320.6
24h Vol$320.6
FUTUURRules
If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2Jul 54d of dataJul 8
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If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.