LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Eduardo Paes 93.2%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 25, 26, 2:20 PMOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Prediction Source Comparison
4 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Eduardo Paes is 92%. Quotes span about 24 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 venues · 24 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
- Also available on Kalshi — Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? · Eduardo Paes 92%
- Also available on Polymarket — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
Open markets
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt17.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner?
- Limitless prices Eduardo Paes at 93% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026.
- How is Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.</p><p><br></p><p>Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.</p><p><br></p><p>If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Where else is Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket.