PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tom Begich 36%+0.5%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$322.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.1%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:39 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tom Begich36%
Compare venues· Tom Begich
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 36% | +5pt | $4.7K | $322.5K | 6 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi88% match · verified | Medium | 31% | 0pt | $178.5 | $104K | 26 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
2.0%1y
-1.0%31%
26%
13%
+13 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$181.2K
24h Vol$178.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.