KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBernadette Wilson 18%+2.0%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$91.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 23.0%
Spread
27.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 3, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Bernadette Wilson18%
Compare venues· Tom Begich
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | High | 29% | 0pt | $1.5K | $332.7K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 30% | +1pt | $3.3K | $91.9K | 6 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Alaska Governor Election Winner
3mo
29%
22%
-0.1%18%
+37 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKETRules
If Tom Begich is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mary Peltola is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Click Bishop is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nancy Dahlstrom is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Edna DeVries is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bernadette Wilson is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.3kJul 212d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
Next Senate Majority Leader?
$42.6KJohn Thune: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump out as President by July 31?
$41.5KYes: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
$27.5KTroy Jackson: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
$23KKaren Bass: 63%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
$16.1KAt least 1%: 66%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)
$3.6KAt least 15: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRules
If Tom Begich is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mary Peltola is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Click Bishop is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nancy Dahlstrom is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Edna DeVries is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bernadette Wilson is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.