Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.3%
Forecasters
152
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 23, 5:24 PM UTCJul 1, 33, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Ukraine is ratified as NATO member before 2033-07-02.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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+2 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033? resolve?
- Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2033.
- How is Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Ukraine is ratified as NATO member before 2033-07-02.