What are the current odds for Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031??

Manifold Markets prices No at 77.7% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031? resolve?

Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2032.

How is Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine%E2%80%93NATO_relations

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Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?

GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine Europe5y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 77.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Mar 7, 24, 7:54 PM UTCJan 1, 32, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine%E2%80%93NATO_relations

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Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?

Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?

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