Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
PoliticsYearlyUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.3%
Forecasters
51
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 7, 24, 11:46 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
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KalshiRules
According to Silver Bulletin.
- If they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
