Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
PoliticsYearlyUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 81.7%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 7, 24, 11:46 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
According to Silver Bulletin.
- If they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? resolve?
- Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to Silver Bulletin.