KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 36% · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Below 32% 53%Market line of 7 lines
Below 32% 53%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$235.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below 36%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 3:05 PM UTCJan 27, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below 36%
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:VoteHub
- In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Rules for each outcome
- Below 36%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 35%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 34%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 33%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 32%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 31%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 31%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 30%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.