Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 5%
Forecasters
96
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 days ago
StaleNov 25, 24, 8:55 PMJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Volume trend
$1.5kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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