Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74%
Forecasters
62
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Jul 26, 25, 4:24 PM UTCJan 31, 29, 5:21 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Trump, in his official power as president, pardons Ghislane Maxwell of any crime OR commutes any sentence she's received.
- I saw a number of markets about pardons, but saw none that also included a commutation.
