Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingMar 16, 26, 4:05 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- A simple majority is needed in the House for impeachment.
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump for a third time before January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if no third impeachment vote occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Trump was impeached twice during his first term, with his second impeachment occurring a week before he left office.
