Will Trump get a third term in office?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump get a third term in office??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will Trump get a third term in office? resolve?

Will Trump get a third term in office? is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2040.

How is Will Trump get a third term in office? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one+37.0pt62.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt23.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot-34.0pt16.5%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$6.7M

24h Vol

$4.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.6pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.5pt90.8%
• Republican Party-0.4pt9.3%

Total Vol

$75.4M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

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• James Talarico65.5%
• Ken Paxton34.5%

Total Vol

$45.6M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-2.0pt66.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+2.0pt33.5%

Total Vol

$7.6M

24h Vol

$1.1M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep64.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.1M

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