KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Election Day 25%-22.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$47.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 25, 25, 2:00 PMNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Election Day25%
Volume trend
$7.7kJul 321d of dataJul 26
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If Donald Trump has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.