Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionEurope1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.4%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 19, 26, 9:56 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of:
- • Associated Press
- • New York Times
- • Washington Examiner
- • Wall Street Journal
- • New York Post
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? resolve?
- Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of: