Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
CommoditiesRussia / UkraineOne-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsUS PoliticsEurope3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.9% / 8.7%
Spread
5.8 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution.
- Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.