Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
CommoditiesRussia / UkraineOne-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsUS PoliticsEurope5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 97%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$390
Liquidity
$12.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.5% / 2.6%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:37 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes3%
Volume trend
$390Jul 222d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution.
- Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.