Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 25, 3:10 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketWho blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiIs a NATO-aligned or anti-Russian entity responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
KalshiRules
This will resolve YES, if before the end of 2030, there will be a gas flowing through the NS pipelines, according to official sources.
- PS Test runs do not suffice to resolve YES.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
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+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2030? resolve?
- Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve YES, if before the end of 2030, there will be a gas flowing through the NS pipelines, according to official sources.