Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
GeopoliticsOne-OffChessRussia / UkraineSportsEurope
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.7%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 23, 9:40 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If one or more of the US, Ukraine, or European Union countries were responsible for the recent Nord Stream attack, this question resolves YES.
- If Russia or Belarus was responsible, this question resolves NO.
- If a different nation or a non-state actor was responsible, and in my estimation their motives were aligned with one of the two sides, this question will resolve accordingly.
- This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.
- If we never reach a point where I can safely be that confident either way, it'll remain open indefinitely.
- (The intent of this market is similar to https://manifold.markets/zzq/was-a-westernaligned-party-such-as but without a fixed end date or likelihood of N/A.)
