Will the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?
Bonds & TreasuriesMacro & EconomyUS Politics4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 4.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleMay 11, 26, 2:28 PMDec 31, 30, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Volume trend
$100Jul 142d of dataJul 15
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
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