Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
GeopoliticsOne-OffChina2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 25, 23, 9:08 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
For example:
- something happens around Taiwan
- US announces new options for Taiwanese citizens in the US to extend their stay
- The idea is that the US will take a pro-Taiwanese national stance re: immigration/legality/visa status of those people's presence in the US.
- It doesn't have to be a specific policy, but has to be overall beneficial and help them avoid breaking laws, or avoid having to return to a country which is at war or occupied.
- This includes changes due to military issues around Taiwan, but also to earthquakes, volcanos, etc. Since it's hard to distinguish.
