KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 76%
No 76%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.7K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 8:05 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will CISA issue a new Emergency Directive?
KalshiCISA issues emergency directive by which date?
PolymarketWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- An Emergency Directive counts once CISA has published it on its Cybersecurity Directives page. It need not name CVE-2026-109618 or CVE-2026-109619, but its required actions must cover those vulnerabilities in PHP, such as requiring agencies to patch, mitigate, inventory or remove affected PHP systems. A new version of an existing Emergency Directive counts only if that version itself adds required actions covering these vulnerabilities. The following do NOT resolve this market to YES: A Binding Operational Directive. A supplemental direction to an existing Emergency Directive. An addition to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, and any remediation deadline that follows from one. A CISA alert, advisory or other guidance urging agencies or the public to patch. A statement that an Emergency Directive is under consideration or forthcoming.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.