KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 79%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 79%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40
Open interest
$494.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CISA issue an Emergency Directive covering the PHP flaws?
KalshiCISA issues emergency directive by which date?
PolymarketWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsRules
If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CISA Cybersecurity Directives
- An Emergency Directive counts once CISA has published it on its Cybersecurity Directives page at https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/directives. It counts whatever its subject, but it must be a newly issued Emergency Directive that carries its own Emergency Directive number. The following do NOT count: A new version of an existing Emergency Directive, such as V1 of ED 26-03 A supplemental direction to an existing Emergency Directive A Binding Operational Directive An addition to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, and any remediation deadline that follows from one A CISA alert, advisory or other guidance urging agencies or the public to act A statement that an Emergency Directive is under consideration or forthcoming
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.