Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050?
One-OffPoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.7%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 21, 22, 10:40 PM UTCJan 1, 51, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold Markets🍔Which of these countries without McDonald's currently will get a location before the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050? resolve?
- Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2051.