Will SpaceX launch a rocket from Louisiana by December 31, 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffSpaceTechGeopoliticsMiddle EastEurope2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 4:05 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 5:59 PM UTC
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FutuurRules
Resolves YES if a SpaceX rocket lifts off from the announced Vermilion Parish, Louisiana launch facility by 11:59 PM Central Time on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Static-fire tests, hops that are not licensed as launches, and launches from other SpaceX sites do not count.
- The mission's later outcome does not matter.
- Source: Louisiana Economic Development.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
