Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.8%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Mar 1, 25, 9:10 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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FutuurRules
SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window.
- This window represents the optimal time for launches between Earth and Mars when the planets are properly aligned, requiring less fuel and time for the journey.
- Elon Musk has publicly stated this goal as part of SpaceX's broader Mars colonization program.
- The Starship is SpaceX's next-generation fully reusable spacecraft designed for missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond.
- It consists of the Starship spacecraft (upper stage) and the Super Heavy booster (first stage).
- Resolution Criteria
