Current implied probability
No 93%
No 93%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$317.7
Low liquidityTraders
28
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will SpaceX launch Starship Flight 15?
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PolymarketRules
This market aims to predict whether SpaceX will launch at least one Starship spacecraft without a human crew to Mars by December 31, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the referred date, the Starship is effectively launched towards Mars and successfully leaves the orbit of the Earth, regardless of whether or not it successfully reaches the orbit of Mars and lands on the planet's surface.
- This market may resolve to "No" before the end of 2026 if SpaceX officially announces that it will NOT launch such a mission to Mars by the referred date.
