Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 83.3%
Forecasters
88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 4:14 PM UTCFeb 3, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Resolves YES if Russian ground troops enter at least one of Estonia, Lithuania or Latvia and the AP calls it an "invasion".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029? resolve?
- Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029? is scheduled to resolve on February 3, 2029.
- How is Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Russian ground troops enter at least one of Estonia, Lithuania or Latvia and the AP calls it an "invasion".