Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopoliticsEurope4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.1%
Forecasters
100
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 24, 1:09 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve YES, if Russian army launches rockets against one of the aforementioned countries or Russian troops enter their territory by December 31, 2030
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030? resolve?
- Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES, if Russian army launches rockets against one of the aforementioned countries or Russian troops enter their territory by December 31, 2030