Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.4%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 24, 4:57 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves to YES if Russia launches an RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from credible sources such as official Russian/Ukrainian government statements or trusted news sources.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029? resolve?
- Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to YES if Russia launches an RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029.