Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.7%
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16
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binary
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Updated 19 minutes ago
May 5, 25, 6:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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The Suwałki Gap is a short strip of land that separates the Baltics from the rest of NATO, stretching from Kaliningrad to Belarus.
- [image]In the event of a conflict between NATO, Russia might attempt to close the Suwałki Gap to isolate the Baltics.
- Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
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